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SWPS University - Main page

Emigrant external voting in CEE after EU Enlargement

The European Union's Eastern Enlargement of 2004–2007 triggered a large wave of migration. A team of researchers, including Ben Stanley, Ph.D. / Associate Professor from SWPS University’s Center for the Study of Democracy investigated the impact of emigrant external voting on their homeland politics.

#migration #CEE #emigrant external voting #politics #EU enlargement

What we researched:

  • We investigated how external voting among migrants differs from electoral results in homelands over time.

How we did it:

  • We analyzed an original dataset gathering voting results among migrants from six CEE countries in fifteen Western European host countries and tested three hypotheses: two related to the disparity of diaspora votes from homeland party systems over time, and one to the ideological leanings of diasporas.

What we discovered:

  • We have observed a growing discrepancy and noted that diaspora votes follow the ideological fluctuations in the country of origin but distort it, with CEE migrants voting for more liberal and more economically right-wing parties than voters ‘at home’.

Why is it important?

  • Because it shows how the post EU Enlargement migrant exodus has impacted the CEE politics in countries of origin.

Our findings suggest that diasporas remain strongly connected to origin-country party systems. The experience of migration has an impact on the engagement of migrant voters with homeland electoral politics, but the political dynamics within countries of origin remain an important reference point.